Pre-election polls this year underestimated the strength of statewide Democratic candidates. In recent presidential elections, they underestimated the GOP share. A new report on the pre-election poll ...

An explanation of the methodology for most of 538's current polling averages. Almost since its founding, 538 has published comprehensive averages of polls for a wide variety of questions related to ...

No Republican presidential candidate in history did better with Latinos than Donald Trump did in 2024. But there are lots of signs that support has evaporated. Democrats won big victories earlier this ...

Two polls cited by Newsweek show Trump’s approval slipping with Gen Z men since 2024, raising fresh midterm risks as both ...

One year ago on Monday, then-President Joe Biden stunned the political world by ending his campaign for re-election. Biden's exit from the 2024 White House race also rocked the Democratic Party, which ...

We modeled six scenarios for the presidential race. It's early, but it looks like the 2024 election is going to be close. ABC News Illustration by Katrina Stapleton, Brandon Bell & Pool/Getty Images ...

Three in 10 people now say that Americans may have to resort to violence to get the country back on track, according to a new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll. To be sure, a strong majority disagree with that ...